MDT
Medtronic PLC
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 100.99
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 81.33
Trim >=take some off
USD 96.00
Thesis breakQuarterly organic revenue growth decelerating below mid-single digits for two co...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 43% | 100 / 100 | 43.0 |
| Base case | 49% | 62 / 100 | 30.4 |
| Bear case | 8% | 10 / 100 | 0.8 |
| Weighted conviction | 74 / 100 - BUY | ||
Top risks
- Strategic licensing and distribution partnership with Cornerstone Robotics for Sentire system (~$700M commitment) alongside Hugo platform
- M&A activity via definitive agreement to acquire Scientia Vascular, Inc.
- AMA approval of new Category I CPT codes for Altaviva and Symplicity Spyral devices enabling reimbursement standardization