LON:SAA
M&C Saatchi Plc
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
140.00p
Buy <=wait / entry
111.67p
Trim >=take some off
145.00p
Thesis breakA disclosed loss or material reduction of a named top-tier client, or a further ...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 16% | 100 / 100 | 16.0 |
| Base case | 48% | 62 / 100 | 29.8 |
| Bear case | 36% | 10 / 100 | 3.6 |
| Weighted conviction | 49 / 100 - SPECULATIVE BUY | ||
Top risks
- Like-for-like net revenue decline of 7.3% to GBP 204.7m and operating profit decline of 26.1% for year ended 31 Dec 2025
- Targeting LFL net revenue and operating profit growth in 2026 in line with consensus
- Client concentration risk (HIGH) from SEC filing disclosures