Coverage / MCD / Trade Card

MCD

McDonald's Corp

BUY Analysis generated 2026-10-04 Market data as of 2026-11-12 Market data 3 days old USD 273.63 Consumer Cyclical - RestaurantsREDUCE ZONE
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
67

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 273.63
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 216.67
Trim >=take some off
USD 260.00
Thesis breakGlobal comparable sales turn negative for two consecutive quarters, free cash fl...
-

Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case36%100 / 10036.0
Base case48%62 / 10029.8
Bear case16%10 / 1001.6
Weighted conviction67 / 100 - BUY

Top risks

  • Q2 FY26 EPS beat of +3.38 vs +3.32 estimate with revenue of 7.1B
  • Advancement of NEXT strategy including new Media Network as stated in investor release
  • 2,276 new restaurant openings in 2025 with 2026 guidance for ~2,600 openings
Read full report →

Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.

\n