NYSE:MA
Mastercard Inc
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 562.95
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 515.00
Trim >=take some off
USD 595.00
Thesis breakThe investment thesis would be invalidated by a sustained deceleration of consta...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 26% | 100 / 100 | 26.0 |
| Base case | 49% | 62 / 100 | 30.4 |
| Bear case | 25% | 10 / 100 | 2.5 |
| Weighted conviction | 59 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- First quarter 2026 net income of $3.9 billion and diluted EPS of $4.35
- 8% gross dollar volume growth reported in Q1 2026
- Analyst consensus of 96% Buy or Strong Buy ratings with average price target of $659