NYSE:MA
Mastercard Inc
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 573.10
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 523.33
Trim >=take some off
USD 590.00
Thesis breakA multi-quarter deceleration of net revenue growth below the high-single-digit r...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 26% | 100 / 100 | 26.0 |
| Base case | 49% | 62 / 100 | 30.4 |
| Bear case | 25% | 10 / 100 | 2.5 |
| Weighted conviction | 59 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- Q2 2026 earnings beat with actual EPS $5.04 vs est $4.76 and revenue $9.28B vs $9.08B
- Anticipated BVNK deal closing providing strategic addition
- Management guidance for Q3 net revenue growth at high end of low-double-digit range