MANU
Manchester United PLC
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 22.83
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 17.33
Trim >=take some off
USD 22.00
Thesis breakA renewed full-year operating loss combined with a Premier League finish outside...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 25% | 100 / 100 | 25.0 |
| Base case | 50% | 62 / 100 | 31.0 |
| Bear case | 25% | 10 / 100 | 2.5 |
| Weighted conviction | 59 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- Sleeve sponsorship deal with fintech SumUp as multimillion pound per season agreement
- Record full year revenue of GBP 677.6 million (+1.7% YoY) and adjusted EBITDA of GBP 216.4 million (+18.4% YoY)
- Men's team 3rd place Premier League finish enabling return to UEFA Champions League for 2026/27