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MANU

Manchester United PLC

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY Analysis generated 2026-10-04 Market data as of 2026-11-12 Market data 3 days old USD 22.83 Communication Services - EntertainmentREDUCE ZONE
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
59

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 22.83
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 17.33
Trim >=take some off
USD 22.00
Thesis breakA renewed full-year operating loss combined with a Premier League finish outside...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case25%100 / 10025.0
Base case50%62 / 10031.0
Bear case25%10 / 1002.5
Weighted conviction59 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • Sleeve sponsorship deal with fintech SumUp as multimillion pound per season agreement
  • Record full year revenue of GBP 677.6 million (+1.7% YoY) and adjusted EBITDA of GBP 216.4 million (+18.4% YoY)
  • Men's team 3rd place Premier League finish enabling return to UEFA Champions League for 2026/27
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