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MTSI

MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings Inc

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY 2026-08-09 Data 34 days old USD 310.82 Technology - SemiconductorsREDUCE ZONE
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
50

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 310.82
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 200.00
Trim >=take some off
USD 280.00
Thesis breakA confirmed, multi-quarter deceleration in hyperscaler data centre optical capex...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case15%100 / 10015.0
Base case50%62 / 10031.0
Bear case35%10 / 1003.5
Weighted conviction50 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • Strong Q3 revenue growth and profit boost reported in 10-Q for quarter ended July 3 2026
  • Multiple analyst price target increases including Evercore ISI to $475 and Needham to $410
  • High valuation with trailing P/E of 99.51 and forward P/E of 41.59
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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.