MTSI
MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings Inc
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 232.06
Buy <=wait / entry
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Trim >=take some off
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Thesis breaknot set
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 19% | 100 / 100 | 19.0 |
| Base case | 51% | 62 / 100 | 31.6 |
| Bear case | 30% | 10 / 100 | 3.0 |
| Weighted conviction | 54 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- Long-Term Supply Agreements with IQ announced April 2026
- Strong Q1 FY2026 earnings: $271.6M revenue (+24.5% YoY) and 55.9% GAAP gross margin
- New 3.2 Tbps optical chipset platform for 448 Gbps PAM-4 AI data center links