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MTSI

MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings Inc

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY Analysis generated 2026-10-04 Market data as of 2026-11-13 Market data 2 days old USD 232.06 Technology - Semiconductors
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
54

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 232.06
Buy <=wait / entry
-
Trim >=take some off
-
Thesis breaknot set
-

Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case19%100 / 10019.0
Base case51%62 / 10031.6
Bear case30%10 / 1003.0
Weighted conviction54 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • Long-Term Supply Agreements with IQ announced April 2026
  • Strong Q1 FY2026 earnings: $271.6M revenue (+24.5% YoY) and 55.9% GAAP gross margin
  • New 3.2 Tbps optical chipset platform for 448 Gbps PAM-4 AI data center links
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