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Lumentum Holdings Inc

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY 2026-08-01 Updated today USD 713.94 Technology - Communication EquipmentAWAIT ENTRY
50

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 713.94
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 540.00
Trim >=take some off
USD 780.00
Thesis breakA confirmed sequential order decline at a named hyperscaler customer, or a quart...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case15%100 / 10015.0
Base case50%62 / 10031.0
Bear case35%10 / 1003.5
Weighted conviction50 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • Q3 2026 earnings beat with actual EPS $2.37 vs est $2.17 (+9.22%)
  • Multiple prior quarter EPS beats including Q2 2026 +35.77% and Q1 2026 +29.41%
  • Analyst consensus Buy rating with average price target $829.73 and recent upgrades to Overweight from Barclays
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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.