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NYSE:LOW

Lowe's Companies Inc

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY 2026-08-01 Updated today USD 207.81 Consumer Cyclical - Home ImprovementAWAIT ENTRY
64

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 207.81
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 188.33
Trim >=take some off
USD 225.00
Thesis breakTwo consecutive quarters of negative comparable sales combined with operating ma...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case32%100 / 10032.0
Base case49%62 / 10030.4
Bear case19%10 / 1001.9
Weighted conviction64 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • Q1 2026 earnings with comparable sales +0.6% and adjusted diluted EPS +3.8% to $3.03
  • Affirmed full year 2026 guidance for sales $92-94B, comp sales flat to +2%, operating margin 11.2-11.4%
  • Positive Pro customer sales momentum and 15.5% online sales growth in Q1
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