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LMT

Lockheed Martin Corp

BUY Analysis generated 2026-10-04 Market data as of 2026-11-12 Market data 3 days old USD 604.09 Industrials - Aerospace & DefenseREDUCE ZONE
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
74

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 604.09
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 466.67
Trim >=take some off
USD 540.00
Thesis breakManagement cuts FY26 sales growth guidance below the mid-single-digit range or a...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case43%100 / 10043.0
Base case49%62 / 10030.4
Bear case8%10 / 1000.8
Weighted conviction74 / 100 - BUY

Top risks

  • Finland F-35A aircraft arrival and U.S. Navy MQ-25A Stingray capacity expansion
  • U.S. Army Novel Production Agreement for BLACK HAWK helicopters and THAAD interceptor production capacity quadrupling framework
  • Record backlog of $230 billion with 3.2:1 book-to-bill ratio in Q2 FY26
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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.

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