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LMT

Lockheed Martin Corp

BUY 2026-08-14 Data 29 days old USD 608.01 Industrials - Aerospace & DefenseAWAIT ENTRY
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
67

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 608.01
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 553.33
Trim >=take some off
USD 640.00
Thesis breakA cut to FY26 earnings or sales guidance, a formally announced F-35 delivery pau...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case36%100 / 10036.0
Base case48%62 / 10029.8
Bear case16%10 / 1001.6
Weighted conviction67 / 100 - BUY

Top risks

  • F-35 program contributing 26% of consolidated net sales with record 191 aircraft deliveries in 2025
  • U.S. government contracts representing 73% of net sales as primary customer
  • Ongoing major defence programs including PAC-3, THAAD, MLRS, JASSM and LRASM
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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.