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LAC

Lithium Americas Corp

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY 2026-08-11 Data 12 days old USD 3.25 AWAIT ENTRY
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
59

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 3.25
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 2.60
Trim >=take some off
USD 4.20
Thesis breakA material withdrawal or restructuring of the DOE loan or GM offtake/financing p...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case25%100 / 10025.0
Base case50%62 / 10031.0
Bear case25%10 / 1002.5
Weighted conviction59 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • DOE restructured loan deal with GM support providing U.S. Government 5% equity ownership
  • Thacker Pass Phase 1 construction underway with 2026 Capex guidance and project milestones
  • Raised $175 million convertible financing as Thacker Pass construction peaks
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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.