LIN
Linde PLC
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 522.49
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 436.67
Trim >=take some off
USD 510.00
Thesis breakA material cut to FY 2026 EPS guidance below the $17.60 floor, a confirmed delay...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 33% | 100 / 100 | 33.0 |
| Base case | 51% | 62 / 100 | 31.6 |
| Bear case | 16% | 10 / 100 | 1.6 |
| Weighted conviction | 66 / 100 - BUY | ||
Top risks
- Q2 2026 adjusted EPS of $4.50 up 10% YoY with full-year 2026 guidance of $17.70-$17.90 representing 8-9% growth
- Record project backlog of $11 billion with two-thirds tied to contracted clean-energy projects
- Underlying sales up 4% from 2% price and 2% volume growth in electronics, manufacturing and chemicals & energy end markets