LIN
Linde PLC
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 489.98
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 443.33
Trim >=take some off
USD 510.00
Thesis breakA confirmed cut to full-year 2026 EPS guidance below $17.60, cancellation or mat...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 26% | 100 / 100 | 26.0 |
| Base case | 49% | 62 / 100 | 30.4 |
| Bear case | 25% | 10 / 100 | 2.5 |
| Weighted conviction | 59 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- Major U.S. electronics contract contributing $1 billion to $11.1 billion project backlog
- Q2 2026 sales $9.3 billion (+9% YoY), adjusted diluted EPS $4.50 (+10% YoY) with full-year 2026 guidance $17.60 - $17.90 (7 - 9% growth)
- $1.59 billion returned to shareholders via dividends and stock repurchases in Q2