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LPTH

LightPath Technologies Inc

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY 2026-08-01 Updated today USD 10.37 Technology - Hardware, Equipment & PartsAWAIT ENTRY
59

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 10.37
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 7.00
Trim >=take some off
USD 11.00
Thesis breakA dilutive equity raise exceeding 15% of shares outstanding combined with revenu...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case26%100 / 10026.0
Base case49%62 / 10030.4
Bear case25%10 / 1002.5
Weighted conviction59 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • $11 million order for infrared cameras signaling defense demand
  • Definitive agreement to divest China subsidiary LPOIZ for $4.5M to achieve fully Western-aligned manufacturing footprint
  • Strong backlog exceeding $100 million in defense and security markets
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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.