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LPTH

LightPath Technologies Inc

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY 2026-08-08 Data 35 days old USD 13.06 Technology - Hardware, Equipment & PartsAWAIT ENTRY
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
59

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 13.06
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 8.50
Trim >=take some off
USD 14.50
Thesis breakA further dilutive capital raise before quarterly operating profitability, or a ...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case26%100 / 10026.0
Base case49%62 / 10030.4
Bear case25%10 / 1002.5
Weighted conviction59 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • Backlog exceeding $100 million indicating contracted revenue visibility
  • Increasing demand and traction for BlackDiamond solution in defense and security markets
  • Recent capital raise strengthening balance sheet for growth initiatives
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