LON:LBG
LBG Media PLC
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
28.40p
Buy <=wait / entry
25.00p
Trim >=take some off
35.00p
Thesis breakA renewed EBITDA decline, continued material Indirect weakness, another reductio...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 23% | 100 / 100 | 23.0 |
| Base case | 47% | 62 / 100 | 29.1 |
| Bear case | 30% | 10 / 100 | 3.0 |
| Weighted conviction | 55 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- Full year revenue in line with expectations at approximately GBP 106.0m (+16% YoY) but Adjusted EBITDA down 35% to GBP 16.5m
- Direct revenues grew 69% YoY while Indirect revenues declined 50%
- Acquisition of Uncovered completed 19 June 2026 contributing to US direct revenue momentum