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LRCX

Lam Research Corp

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY 2026-08-08 Data 35 days old USD 311.35 Technology - SemiconductorsREDUCE ZONE
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
59

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 311.35
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 218.33
Trim >=take some off
USD 305.00
Thesis breakA material guidance reset at the fiscal Q4 2026 print on 5 August 2026 - specifi...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case25%100 / 10025.0
Base case50%62 / 10031.0
Bear case25%10 / 1002.5
Weighted conviction59 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • Q4 2026 EPS beat of $1.82 vs $1.68 est (+8.33%) and similar beats in prior three quarters
  • Establishment of Panel-Level Packaging Center of Excellence in Salzburg, Austria
  • Board approval of quarterly dividend of $0.26 per share
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