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LRCX

Lam Research Corp

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY 2026-08-01 Updated today USD 293.02 Technology - SemiconductorsAWAIT ENTRY
59

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 293.02
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 243.33
Trim >=take some off
USD 310.00
Thesis breakA confirmed multi-quarter order decline from the major memory customers, share l...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case25%100 / 10025.0
Base case50%62 / 10031.0
Bear case25%10 / 1002.5
Weighted conviction59 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • Q4 2026 EPS beat of $1.82 vs $1.68 estimate (+8.33%)
  • 24 analysts with average price target $324.04 and 80.81% BUY ratings
  • Top market share in etch and second share in deposition segments
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