LRCX
Lam Research Corp
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 311.35
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 218.33
Trim >=take some off
USD 305.00
Thesis breakA material guidance reset at the fiscal Q4 2026 print on 5 August 2026 - specifi...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 25% | 100 / 100 | 25.0 |
| Base case | 50% | 62 / 100 | 31.0 |
| Bear case | 25% | 10 / 100 | 2.5 |
| Weighted conviction | 59 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- Q4 2026 EPS beat of $1.82 vs $1.68 est (+8.33%) and similar beats in prior three quarters
- Establishment of Panel-Level Packaging Center of Excellence in Salzburg, Austria
- Board approval of quarterly dividend of $0.26 per share