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NYSE:KR

Kroger Co

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY 2026-08-09 Data 34 days old USD 56.73 Consumer Defensive - Grocery StoresAWAIT ENTRY
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
62

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 56.73
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 53.33
Trim >=take some off
USD 60.00
Thesis breakA multi-quarter sequence of identical sales growth below 1% excluding fuel, comb...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case29%100 / 10029.0
Base case50%62 / 10031.0
Bear case21%10 / 1002.1
Weighted conviction62 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • Q1 2027 EPS of $1.58 missed consensus by $0.01 while revenue of $46.12B beat estimates
  • Identical sales without fuel increased 1.0% and adjusted EPS rose 6% year-over-year
  • Adjusted eCommerce sales grew +19% with maintained 2026 guidance
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