NYSE:KR
Kroger Co
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 56.73
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 53.33
Trim >=take some off
USD 60.00
Thesis breakA multi-quarter sequence of identical sales growth below 1% excluding fuel, comb...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 29% | 100 / 100 | 29.0 |
| Base case | 50% | 62 / 100 | 31.0 |
| Bear case | 21% | 10 / 100 | 2.1 |
| Weighted conviction | 62 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- Q1 2027 EPS of $1.58 missed consensus by $0.01 while revenue of $46.12B beat estimates
- Identical sales without fuel increased 1.0% and adjusted EPS rose 6% year-over-year
- Adjusted eCommerce sales grew +19% with maintained 2026 guidance