NYSE:KR
Kroger Co
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 57.74
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 52.67
Trim >=take some off
USD 62.00
Thesis breakIdentical sales excluding fuel turning negative for two consecutive quarters, EP...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 24% | 100 / 100 | 24.0 |
| Base case | 49% | 62 / 100 | 30.4 |
| Bear case | 27% | 10 / 100 | 2.7 |
| Weighted conviction | 57 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- Q1 2026 adjusted EPS increased 6% year-over-year to $1.58 with identical sales without fuel up 1.0%
- FY 2026 EPS guidance range of $5.10 - $5.30 provided by the company
- Albertsons merger terminated with $68 million break fee paid