KTOS
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions Inc
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 60.77
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 47.33
Trim >=take some off
USD 62.00
Thesis breakA material cut to FY2026 financial guidance, a documented loss of a key competit...
-
Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 15% | 100 / 100 | 15.0 |
| Base case | 50% | 62 / 100 | 31.0 |
| Bear case | 35% | 10 / 100 | 3.5 |
| Weighted conviction | 50 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- Strong Q2 financial results reported with positive net income growth
- Consensus Strong Buy rating from 14-21 analysts with average price targets of $95-$107
- Significant portion of revenue derived from U.S. Government contracts