FOBK
Kneat.com Inc
BLOCKED - NOT ACTIONABLEMethodology gate: buy_preconditions_failed
Position levels
Currenttoday
EUR 4.00
Buy <=wait / entry
EUR 3.08
Trim >=take some off
EUR 4.85
Thesis breakTermination, material repricing or regulatory blocking of the announced Thoma Br...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 33% | 100 / 100 | 33.0 |
| Base case | 54% | 62 / 100 | 33.5 |
| Bear case | 13% | 10 / 100 | 1.3 |
| Weighted conviction | 64 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- M&A activity: Thoma Bravo all-cash acquisition valuing Kneat at ~C$650M
- Earnings: Q1 2026 revenue $18.0M (+22% YoY) and ARR $76.4M (+20% YoY)
- Gross profit growth accelerating at +28% YoY