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FOBK

Kneat.com Inc

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY 2026-08-01 Updated today EUR 3.98 Technology - Software - ApplicationAWAIT ENTRY
61

Position levels

Currenttoday
EUR 3.98
Buy <=wait / entry
EUR 3.23
Trim >=take some off
EUR 4.10
Thesis breakConfirmation that the Thoma Bravo all-cash acquisition will not close on the ann...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case26%100 / 10026.0
Base case53%62 / 10032.9
Bear case21%10 / 1002.1
Weighted conviction61 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • M&A activity: Thoma Bravo to acquire Kneat in all-cash transaction valuing company at ~C$650 Million
  • Earnings: Q1 2026 total revenue $18.0M (+22% YoY) and ARR $76.4M (+20% YoY)
  • Earnings: Multiple quarterly EPS misses including -139.95% surprise in May 2026 release
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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.