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FOBK

Kneat.com Inc

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY 2026-08-14 Data 29 days old EUR 4.00 Technology - Software - ApplicationAWAIT ENTRY
BLOCKED - NOT ACTIONABLEMethodology gate: buy_preconditions_failed
64

Position levels

Currenttoday
EUR 4.00
Buy <=wait / entry
EUR 3.08
Trim >=take some off
EUR 4.85
Thesis breakTermination, material repricing or regulatory blocking of the announced Thoma Br...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case33%100 / 10033.0
Base case54%62 / 10033.5
Bear case13%10 / 1001.3
Weighted conviction64 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • M&A activity: Thoma Bravo all-cash acquisition valuing Kneat at ~C$650M
  • Earnings: Q1 2026 revenue $18.0M (+22% YoY) and ARR $76.4M (+20% YoY)
  • Gross profit growth accelerating at +28% YoY
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