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KLAC

KLA Corp

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY 2026-10-04 Data 8 days old USD 206.89 Technology - SemiconductorsAWAIT ENTRY
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
59

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 206.89
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 161.67
Trim >=take some off
USD 215.00
Thesis breakA formal U.S. export-control action that materially restricts KLA's ability to s...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case26%100 / 10026.0
Base case49%62 / 10030.4
Bear case25%10 / 1002.5
Weighted conviction59 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • Record Q4 FY2026 revenue of $3.66 billion (up 15% YoY) with non-GAAP EPS of $1.05 beating guidance
  • Advanced Packaging Process Control Systems revenue projected at $1.1 billion for 2026 (>70% YoY growth)
  • KLA Services revenue of $820 million (up 17% YoY)
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