KLAC
KLA Corp
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 192.74
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 141.67
Trim >=take some off
USD 205.00
Thesis breakConfirmed material tightening of US export controls on semiconductor process con...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 26% | 100 / 100 | 26.0 |
| Base case | 49% | 62 / 100 | 30.4 |
| Bear case | 25% | 10 / 100 | 2.5 |
| Weighted conviction | 59 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- Q4 2026 EPS beat of 5% ($1.05 actual vs $1 estimate)
- Q1 FY2026 revenues of $3.21B and GAAP/non-GAAP EPS above guidance midpoints
- Double-digit YoY revenue and EPS growth reported for Q1 FY2026