KLAC
KLA Corp
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 206.89
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 161.67
Trim >=take some off
USD 215.00
Thesis breakA formal U.S. export-control action that materially restricts KLA's ability to s...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 26% | 100 / 100 | 26.0 |
| Base case | 49% | 62 / 100 | 30.4 |
| Bear case | 25% | 10 / 100 | 2.5 |
| Weighted conviction | 59 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- Record Q4 FY2026 revenue of $3.66 billion (up 15% YoY) with non-GAAP EPS of $1.05 beating guidance
- Advanced Packaging Process Control Systems revenue projected at $1.1 billion for 2026 (>70% YoY growth)
- KLA Services revenue of $820 million (up 17% YoY)