LON:KYGA
Kerry Group PLC
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
EUR 83.10
Buy <=wait / entry
EUR 68.67
Trim >=take some off
EUR 82.00
Thesis breakA confirmed loss of a named major Taste & Nutrition customer, a second consecuti...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 16% | 100 / 100 | 16.0 |
| Base case | 48% | 62 / 100 | 29.8 |
| Bear case | 36% | 10 / 100 | 3.6 |
| Weighted conviction | 49 / 100 - SPECULATIVE BUY | ||
Top risks
- Q2 2025 EPS miss of EUR 0.04 vs consensus
- Revenue miss of EUR 27.16M with -10.75% YoY decline
- Customer concentration risk as B2B supplier to large multinationals