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LON:KYGA

Kerry Group PLC

SPECULATIVE BUY 2026-08-09 Data 34 days old EUR 83.10 Consumer Defensive - Packaged FoodsREDUCE ZONE
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
49

Position levels

Currenttoday
EUR 83.10
Buy <=wait / entry
EUR 68.67
Trim >=take some off
EUR 82.00
Thesis breakA confirmed loss of a named major Taste & Nutrition customer, a second consecuti...
-

Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case16%100 / 10016.0
Base case48%62 / 10029.8
Bear case36%10 / 1003.6
Weighted conviction49 / 100 - SPECULATIVE BUY

Top risks

  • Q2 2025 EPS miss of EUR 0.04 vs consensus
  • Revenue miss of EUR 27.16M with -10.75% YoY decline
  • Customer concentration risk as B2B supplier to large multinationals
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