KRMN
Karman Holdings Inc
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 48.15
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 44.67
Trim >=take some off
USD 58.00
Thesis breakA cut to FY2026 revenue or adjusted EBITDA guidance, a backlog print materially ...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 17% | 100 / 100 | 17.0 |
| Base case | 49% | 62 / 100 | 30.4 |
| Bear case | 34% | 10 / 100 | 3.4 |
| Weighted conviction | 51 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- Acquisition of Seemann Composites and Materials Sciences Corporation driving revenue growth
- Backlog exceeding $1 billion indicating strong future demand
- Q1 2026 earnings beat with actual EPS $0.11 vs $0.10 est and 51% YoY revenue growth to $151.2M