LON:JDG
Judges Scientific PLC
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
4250.00p
Buy <=wait / entry
3416.67p
Trim >=take some off
4250.00p
Thesis breakA profit warning from one or more material subsidiaries, a dilutive equity raise...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 16% | 100 / 100 | 16.0 |
| Base case | 48% | 62 / 100 | 29.8 |
| Bear case | 36% | 10 / 100 | 3.6 |
| Weighted conviction | 49 / 100 - SPECULATIVE BUY | ||
Top risks
- Order intake declined 11% YoY with revenue down 21% due to absent Geotek expedition and US/China funding delays
- 2026 adjusted EPS guidance reduced to 200-250p assuming no US recovery or coring expedition
- Eight businesses achieved growth in battery and semiconductor niches offsetting some weakness