NYSE:JPM
JPMorgan Chase & Co
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 357.52
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 323.33
Trim >=take some off
USD 370.00
Thesis breakA further downward revision to full-year NII ex-Markets guidance combined with a...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 25% | 100 / 100 | 25.0 |
| Base case | 50% | 62 / 100 | 31.0 |
| Bear case | 25% | 10 / 100 | 2.5 |
| Weighted conviction | 59 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- Q1 earnings beat Wall Street expectations with 13% profit jump driven by trading revenue
- Lowered full-year 2026 net interest income guidance from prior $104.5 billion level
- Wall Street consensus Moderate Buy rating with average 12-month price target of $376