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NYSE:JPM

JPMorgan Chase & Co

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY 2026-08-08 Data 35 days old USD 357.52 Financial Services - Banks - DiversifiedAWAIT ENTRY
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
59

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 357.52
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 323.33
Trim >=take some off
USD 370.00
Thesis breakA further downward revision to full-year NII ex-Markets guidance combined with a...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case25%100 / 10025.0
Base case50%62 / 10031.0
Bear case25%10 / 1002.5
Weighted conviction59 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • Q1 earnings beat Wall Street expectations with 13% profit jump driven by trading revenue
  • Lowered full-year 2026 net interest income guidance from prior $104.5 billion level
  • Wall Street consensus Moderate Buy rating with average 12-month price target of $376
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