NYSE:JPM
JPMorgan Chase & Co
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 342.82
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 300.00
Trim >=take some off
USD 340.00
Thesis breakA further reduction in the full-year 2026 NII guidance, a sustained NIM compress...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 32% | 100 / 100 | 32.0 |
| Base case | 49% | 62 / 100 | 30.4 |
| Bear case | 19% | 10 / 100 | 1.9 |
| Weighted conviction | 64 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- Lowered full-year 2026 net interest income guidance from previous $104.5 billion level
- Beat Wall Street expectations for revenue and earnings per share in recent quarter
- 13% jump in first-quarter profit with trading revenue lift from volatile markets