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JCI

Johnson Controls International PLC

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY Analysis generated 2026-10-04 Market data as of 2026-11-12 Market data 3 days old USD 142.55 Industrials - Industrial - MachineryAWAIT ENTRY
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
61

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 142.55
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 134.00
Trim >=take some off
USD 162.00
Thesis breakA material adverse regulatory action on refrigerants or greenhouse gases that co...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case26%100 / 10026.0
Base case53%62 / 10032.9
Bear case21%10 / 1002.1
Weighted conviction61 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • Acquisition of Alloy Enterprises closed, strengthening data center thermal management leadership
  • Q3 2026 sales growth of 9% and raised FY2026 EPS guidance
  • Board approval of regular quarterly dividend of $0.40 per share
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