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JCI

Johnson Controls International PLC

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY 2026-08-08 Data 35 days old USD 152.21 Industrials - Industrial - MachineryAWAIT ENTRY
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
61

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 152.21
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 124.67
Trim >=take some off
USD 158.00
Thesis breakA confirmed regulatory enforcement action on high-GWP refrigerants that material...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case26%100 / 10026.0
Base case53%62 / 10032.9
Bear case21%10 / 1002.1
Weighted conviction61 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • Q3 sales +9% (organic +10%) to $6.6B with GAAP EPS $1.23 and adjusted EPS $1.42
  • Q3 orders +27% organically and backlog of $21.0B (+32% organically)
  • Company raised FY26 guidance following strong Q3 results
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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.