JCI
Johnson Controls International PLC
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 142.55
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 134.00
Trim >=take some off
USD 162.00
Thesis breakA material adverse regulatory action on refrigerants or greenhouse gases that co...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 26% | 100 / 100 | 26.0 |
| Base case | 53% | 62 / 100 | 32.9 |
| Bear case | 21% | 10 / 100 | 2.1 |
| Weighted conviction | 61 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- Acquisition of Alloy Enterprises closed, strengthening data center thermal management leadership
- Q3 2026 sales growth of 9% and raised FY2026 EPS guidance
- Board approval of regular quarterly dividend of $0.40 per share