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JCI

Johnson Controls International PLC

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY 2026-08-01 Updated today USD 146.66 Industrials - Industrial - MachineryAWAIT ENTRY
61

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 146.66
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 127.33
Trim >=take some off
USD 158.00
Thesis breakA two-quarter trend of organic order growth falling below 10% combined with marg...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case26%100 / 10026.0
Base case53%62 / 10032.9
Bear case21%10 / 1002.1
Weighted conviction61 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • Q1 sales +7% (organic +6%) with GAAP EPS $0.90 and adjusted EPS $0.89
  • Orders +39% organically and backlog $18.2B (+20% organic)
  • Raised FY26 guidance after strong Q1 results
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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.