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JOBY

Joby Aviation Inc

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY 2026-10-04 Data 8 days old USD 5.95 Industrials - Airlines, Airports & Air ServicesAWAIT ENTRY
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
59

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 5.95
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 4.13
Trim >=take some off
USD 6.20
Thesis breakA formal FAA Type Certification delay beyond 2027 combined with a dilutive equit...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case25%100 / 10025.0
Base case51%62 / 10031.6
Bear case24%10 / 1002.4
Weighted conviction59 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • Acquisition of Resonant Sciences to scale defense business
  • Toyota joint venture for strategic manufacturing alliance and high-volume production
  • Strategic partnership with Atoms to develop America's vertiport network
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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.