JD
JD.Com Inc
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 27.49
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 22.67
Trim >=take some off
USD 28.00
Thesis breakA further material regulatory penalty or operating restriction, continued materi...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 36% | 100 / 100 | 36.0 |
| Base case | 48% | 62 / 100 | 29.8 |
| Bear case | 16% | 10 / 100 | 1.6 |
| Weighted conviction | 67 / 100 - BUY | ||
Top risks
- JD.com to release Q4 and full year 2025 results on March 5 2026 with conference call
- Q2 2026 results showed revenue of RMB346 billion down 2.9% YoY but non-GAAP net income up 20.8% to RMB8.9 billion with margin expansion
- Voluntary public takeover offer and strategic investment partnership announced with CECONOMY