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JD

JD.Com Inc

BUY Analysis generated 2026-10-28 Market data as of 2026-11-12 Market data 3 days old USD 27.49 Consumer Cyclical - Specialty RetailAWAIT ENTRY
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
67

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 27.49
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 22.67
Trim >=take some off
USD 28.00
Thesis breakA further material regulatory penalty or operating restriction, continued materi...
-

Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case36%100 / 10036.0
Base case48%62 / 10029.8
Bear case16%10 / 1001.6
Weighted conviction67 / 100 - BUY

Top risks

  • JD.com to release Q4 and full year 2025 results on March 5 2026 with conference call
  • Q2 2026 results showed revenue of RMB346 billion down 2.9% YoY but non-GAAP net income up 20.8% to RMB8.9 billion with margin expansion
  • Voluntary public takeover offer and strategic investment partnership announced with CECONOMY
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