LON:JHD
James Halstead PLC
Position levels
Currenttoday
120.00p
Buy <=wait / entry
105.00p
Trim >=take some off
125.00p
Thesis breakA second consecutive FY profit guidance downgrade combined with a dividend polic...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 23% | 100 / 100 | 23.0 |
| Base case | 47% | 62 / 100 | 29.1 |
| Bear case | 30% | 10 / 100 | 3.0 |
| Weighted conviction | 55 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- H1 2026 revenue decline to GBP 127.2m from GBP 130.1m and pre-tax profit to GBP 24.7m from GBP 28.5m
- FY profit forecast downgrade of 10-15% below prior year with sales marginally lower
- Record interim dividend raised to 2.85p despite earnings pressure