ITRMF
Iterum Therapeutics PLC
BLOCKED - NOT ACTIONABLEMethodology gate: frameworkRuleCheck
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 0.02
Buy <=wait / entry
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Trim >=take some off
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Thesis breaknot set
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 8% | 100 / 100 | 8.0 |
| Base case | 48% | 62 / 100 | 29.8 |
| Bear case | 44% | 10 / 100 | 4.4 |
| Weighted conviction | 29 / 100 - AVOID | ||
Top risks
- Commercial contract with GPO tied to major U.S. PBM providing coverage for >40 million lives from early 2026
- Japanese Patent Office Decision to Grant for sulopenem etzadroxil combination with projected expiry March 2041
- High Court of Ireland order on March 27 2026 appointing Teneo Restructuring liquidators