IREN
IREN Ltd
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 18.17
Buy <=wait / entry
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Trim >=take some off
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Thesis breaknot set
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 25% | 100 / 100 | 25.0 |
| Base case | 51% | 62 / 100 | 31.6 |
| Bear case | 24% | 10 / 100 | 2.4 |
| Weighted conviction | 59 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- Signed $2.8bn in new customer contracts with leading AI developers and raised 2026 ARR target to over $4bn
- Completed acquisition of Mirantis
- Delivered Horizon 1 to Microsoft and achieved NVIDIA Exemplar Cloud Status on GB300 NVL72