IREN
IREN Ltd
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 41.23
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 29.67
Trim >=take some off
USD 45.00
Thesis breakMaterial cancellation, non-renewal, or material renegotiation of the disclosed N...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 7% | 100 / 100 | 7.0 |
| Base case | 50% | 62 / 100 | 31.0 |
| Bear case | 43% | 10 / 100 | 4.3 |
| Weighted conviction | 42 / 100 - SPECULATIVE BUY | ||
Top risks
- NVIDIA and IREN Press Release dated May 7, 2026
- $625 million Mirantis acquisition to add software layer
- Q3 FY26 EPS miss of -$0.33 vs -$0.24 estimate