ISRG
Intuitive Surgical Inc
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 378.81
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 346.67
Trim >=take some off
USD 420.00
Thesis breakProcedure growth decelerating to single digits for two consecutive quarters comb...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 26% | 100 / 100 | 26.0 |
| Base case | 49% | 62 / 100 | 30.4 |
| Bear case | 25% | 10 / 100 | 2.5 |
| Weighted conviction | 59 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- Q1 2026 revenue of $2.77 billion increased 23% with worldwide da Vinci and Ion procedures growing 17%
- 431 da Vinci surgical systems placed (including 232 da Vinci 5) versus 367 prior year, with installed base reaching 11,395
- Ion procedures grew 39% and Ion installed base grew 22% to 1,041 systems