ISRG
Intuitive Surgical Inc
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 439.89
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 373.33
Trim >=take some off
USD 520.00
Thesis breakThe thesis is invalidated by either (a) a formal FDA enforcement action or mater...
-
Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 26% | 100 / 100 | 26.0 |
| Base case | 49% | 62 / 100 | 30.4 |
| Bear case | 25% | 10 / 100 | 2.5 |
| Weighted conviction | 59 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- Fresh European approvals for single-port gynecologic procedure and da Vinci cardiac surgery systems
- Raised 2026 procedure guidance after Q1 revenue beat of $2.77B and 40% EBIT increase
- da Vinci procedures grew 16% and Ion procedures grew 39% in Q1 2026