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LUNR

Intuitive Machines Inc

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY 2026-08-08 Data 35 days old USD 16.40 Industrials - Aerospace & DefenseAWAIT ENTRY
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
50

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 16.40
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 11.67
Trim >=take some off
USD 19.00
Thesis breakThe thesis would be invalidated by a cut to the 2026 USD900 million to USD1 bill...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case16%100 / 10016.0
Base case50%62 / 10031.0
Bear case34%10 / 1003.4
Weighted conviction50 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • Q1 2026 earnings miss with EPS of -$0.25 vs consensus -$0.07 and revenue $186.73M vs $202.95M
  • Acquisition of Lanteris closed January 13 2026
  • Consensus analyst rating of Buy with average price target $39.22
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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.