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LUNR

Intuitive Machines Inc

BUY 2026-08-01 Updated today USD 12.34 Industrials - Aerospace & DefenseAWAIT ENTRY
73

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 12.34
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 8.67
Trim >=take some off
USD 14.00
Thesis breakA downward revision of the FY2026 $900M-$1B revenue guidance, a material contrac...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case40%100 / 10040.0
Base case52%62 / 10032.2
Bear case8%10 / 1000.8
Weighted conviction73 / 100 - BUY

Top risks

  • Closed $800 million acquisition of Lanteris Space Systems becoming vertically integrated prime contractor
  • Awarded $428.9 million in new contracts including $180.4 million NASA CLPS and Space Development Agency tracking layer
  • Firm-fixed-price contract up to $148.3 million for Nova-C lunar lander production scaling
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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.