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LUNR

Intuitive Machines Inc

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY Analysis generated 2026-10-04 Market data as of 2026-11-12 Market data 3 days old USD 13.03 Industrials - Aerospace & DefenseAWAIT ENTRY
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
56

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 13.03
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 10.67
Trim >=take some off
USD 16.00
Thesis breakA confirmed launch failure or extended manifest delay with the company's single ...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case23%100 / 10023.0
Base case49%62 / 10030.4
Bear case28%10 / 1002.8
Weighted conviction56 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • Major contract wins and record backlog expansion supporting lunar infrastructure programs
  • FY26 revenue guidance reiterated at $900M-$1B with positive adjusted EBITDA
  • Roth Capital maintains Buy and raises PT to 75; Cantor Fitzgerald Overweight
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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.

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