INDIGO
Interglobe Aviation Ltd
Position levels
Currenttoday
INR 5177.00
Buy <=wait / entry
INR 4333.33
Trim >=take some off
INR 5400.00
Thesis breakA second consecutive quarterly net loss combined with a sustained share-price br...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 20% | 100 / 100 | 20.0 |
| Base case | 50% | 62 / 100 | 31.0 |
| Bear case | 30% | 10 / 100 | 3.0 |
| Weighted conviction | 54 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- Q1 FY27 revenue rose 19.9% but net loss reported at INR 2.38 billion
- Consensus analyst price target 5655 with multiple Buy ratings from ICICI Securities, Motilal Oswal and Anand Rathi
- Competitive intensification from Air India group post-Vistara merger pressuring yields and market share