INTC
Intel Corp
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 101.65
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 71.67
Trim >=take some off
USD 105.00
Thesis breakA confirmed multibillion-dollar foundry writedown, the loss of a named anchor cu...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 21% | 100 / 100 | 21.0 |
| Base case | 50% | 62 / 100 | 31.0 |
| Bear case | 29% | 10 / 100 | 2.9 |
| Weighted conviction | 55 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- Q2 earnings beat with adjusted EPS of 42 cents vs 21 cents expected and revenue of $16.1 billion vs $14.42 billion expected
- 25% revenue growth marking fastest quarterly rate since 2011 driven by server processors
- U.S. government 10% stake supporting domestic chip manufacturing