INTC
Intel Corp
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 61.20
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 87.33
Trim >=take some off
USD 118.00
Thesis breakConfirmation that Intel Foundry Services will not attract a meaningful third-par...
-
Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 21% | 100 / 100 | 21.0 |
| Base case | 50% | 62 / 100 | 31.0 |
| Bear case | 29% | 10 / 100 | 2.9 |
| Weighted conviction | 55 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- U.S. Government $8.9 billion investment agreement for manufacturing leadership
- Q2 FY26 EPS beat (+0.4 actual vs +0.2 estimate)
- Negative TTM EPS of -2.12 and P/E of -56.29 with ongoing net losses