INTC
Intel Corp
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 90.20
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 70.00
Trim >=take some off
USD 100.00
Thesis breakA confirmed, multi-quarter decline in data-centre revenue share alongside a foun...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 21% | 100 / 100 | 21.0 |
| Base case | 50% | 62 / 100 | 31.0 |
| Bear case | 29% | 10 / 100 | 2.9 |
| Weighted conviction | 55 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- Q2 2026 earnings beat with adjusted EPS of 42 cents vs 21 expected and revenue of $16.1B vs $14.42B expected, delivering 25% YoY growth
- US government 10% stake supporting domestic chip manufacturing
- AI infrastructure boom driving server processor demand and guidance that exceeded expectations