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INTC

Intel Corp

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY 2026-08-08 Data 35 days old USD 101.65 Technology - SemiconductorsAWAIT ENTRY
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
55

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 101.65
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 71.67
Trim >=take some off
USD 105.00
Thesis breakA confirmed multibillion-dollar foundry writedown, the loss of a named anchor cu...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case21%100 / 10021.0
Base case50%62 / 10031.0
Bear case29%10 / 1002.9
Weighted conviction55 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • Q2 earnings beat with adjusted EPS of 42 cents vs 21 cents expected and revenue of $16.1 billion vs $14.42 billion expected
  • 25% revenue growth marking fastest quarterly rate since 2011 driven by server processors
  • U.S. government 10% stake supporting domestic chip manufacturing
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