IR
Ingersoll Rand Inc
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 85.31
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 72.67
Trim >=take some off
USD 94.00
Thesis breakA cut to full-year 2026 EPS guidance below the $3.45 floor, a confirmed negative...
-
Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 26% | 100 / 100 | 26.0 |
| Base case | 49% | 62 / 100 | 30.4 |
| Bear case | 25% | 10 / 100 | 2.5 |
| Weighted conviction | 59 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- Strategic partnership with Garrett Motion for oil-free compressor modules with initial products planned for 2026
- M&A activity including recent acquisition of XFactor Live and list of 22 total acquisitions
- Q4 2025 revenues up 10% to $2,091M and adjusted net income up 14% with full-year orders up 9%