ICLR
ICON PLC
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 164.51
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 120.00
Trim >=take some off
USD 170.00
Thesis breakA material client programme cancellation, withdrawal of full-year guidance, or a...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 15% | 100 / 100 | 15.0 |
| Base case | 50% | 62 / 100 | 31.0 |
| Bear case | 35% | 10 / 100 | 3.5 |
| Weighted conviction | 50 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- Net business wins of $3,120 million in Q2 with net book-to-bill of 1.51
- Reaffirmation of 2026 full-year revenue guidance of $7,850-$8,150 million and adjusted EPS of $10.00-$11.00
- Closing backlog increased 3.0% to $23.4 billion