ICLR
ICON PLC
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 163.57
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 122.00
Trim >=take some off
USD 176.00
Thesis breakThesis is invalidated if the 20-F restatement reveals a revenue impact materiall...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 23% | 100 / 100 | 23.0 |
| Base case | 51% | 62 / 100 | 31.6 |
| Bear case | 26% | 10 / 100 | 2.6 |
| Weighted conviction | 57 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- Net business wins of $3,120 million with net book-to-bill of 1.51
- Closing backlog increased to $23.4 billion
- Reaffirmed 2026 full-year guidance for revenue $7,850-$8,150 million and adjusted EPS $10.00-$11.00