ICLR
ICON PLC
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 200.51
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 126.67
Trim >=take some off
USD 170.00
Thesis breakA material expansion of the disclosed multi-year revenue restatement, a sustaine...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 15% | 100 / 100 | 15.0 |
| Base case | 50% | 62 / 100 | 31.0 |
| Bear case | 35% | 10 / 100 | 3.5 |
| Weighted conviction | 50 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- Strategic partnership with Microsoft as preferred technology partner to power AI-enabled clinical development
- Multi-year collaboration with Anthropic to bring frontier AI to clinical trials
- Q2 2026 net business wins of $3,120 million and closing backlog of $23.4 billion