Coverage / IBM / Trade Card

IBM

IBM Common Stock

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY 2026-08-01 Updated today USD 223.65 Technology - Information Technology ServicesAWAIT ENTRY
59

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 223.65
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 211.67
Trim >=take some off
USD 255.00
Thesis breakA confirmed Q2 2026 revenue or earnings miss that explicitly walks back the AI b...
-

Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case27%100 / 10027.0
Base case48%62 / 10029.8
Bear case25%10 / 1002.5
Weighted conviction59 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • Lowered full-year 2026 revenue guidance after Q2 miss
  • Revenue actual of 17.162B vs estimate 17.464B (-1.73% surprise)
  • Strong Hybrid Cloud and AI signings supporting 5% software growth
Read full report →

Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.