IBM

IBM Common Stock

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY Analysis generated 2026-10-04 Market data as of 2026-11-12 Market data 3 days old USD 244.67 Technology - Information Technology ServicesAWAIT ENTRY

ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed

Position levels

Currenttoday

USD 244.67

Buy <=wait / entry

USD 210.00

Trim >=take some off

USD 260.00

Thesis breakThe thesis would invalidate on a confirmed margin compression from US trade and ...

Scenario-weighted conviction

	Probability	Score	Contribution
Bull case	32%	100 / 100	32.0
Base case	49%	62 / 100	30.4
Bear case	19%	10 / 100	1.9
Weighted conviction			64 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

$240 Million AI Deal signed
Acquisition of Logiq Consulting (UK cybersecurity consultancy)
Q2 2026 revenue $17.16B missed consensus by $420M; adjusted EPS $2.93 missed by $0.02

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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.