LON:HCM
HUTCHMED (China) Ltd
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
222.50p
Buy <=wait / entry
180.00p
Trim >=take some off
240.00p
Thesis breakA confirmed US launch setback for FRUZAQLA, a dilutive equity raise to extend th...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 25% | 100 / 100 | 25.0 |
| Base case | 50% | 62 / 100 | 31.0 |
| Bear case | 25% | 10 / 100 | 2.5 |
| Weighted conviction | 59 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- China product sales growth over 40% for ELUNATE and SULANDA in H1 2026
- FRUZAQLA ex-US sales expansion with approvals or launches in 41 countries
- New drug approvals for fruquintinib (RCC) and savolitinib (GC)