LON:HCM
HUTCHMED (China) Ltd
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
184.00p
Buy <=wait / entry
155.00p
Trim >=take some off
205.00p
Thesis breakThe thesis is invalidated if FRUZAQLA ex-China sales decline sequentially for tw...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 25% | 100 / 100 | 25.0 |
| Base case | 50% | 62 / 100 | 31.0 |
| Bear case | 25% | 10 / 100 | 2.5 |
| Weighted conviction | 59 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- Oncology product revenue growth of 23% to $121.4 million in H1 2026
- Full year 2026 Oncology/Immunology revenue guidance of $330 million to $450 million
- FRUZAQLA global in-market sales of $185.4 million with approvals or launches in 41 countries