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HUM

Humana Inc

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY 2026-08-01 Updated today USD 363.86 Healthcare - Medical - Healthcare PlansREDUCE ZONE
59

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 363.86
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 266.67
Trim >=take some off
USD 360.00
Thesis breakA confirmed CMS Stars downgrade below 4 stars for a material share of MA members...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case25%100 / 10025.0
Base case50%62 / 10031.0
Bear case25%10 / 1002.5
Weighted conviction59 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • Awarded Statewide Illinois HealthChoice Medicaid Contract expanding access across the state
  • Agreement to divest minority interest in Gentiva
  • Q2 2026 EPS of $7.61 beat consensus $7.27 with revenue $40.89B above estimates; affirms full year 2026 adjusted guidance
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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.