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HUM

Humana Inc

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY 2026-08-08 Data 35 days old USD 385.00 Healthcare - Medical - Healthcare PlansAWAIT ENTRY
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
59

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 385.00
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 291.67
Trim >=take some off
USD 395.00
Thesis breakA confirmed CMS Stars rating downgrade below four stars for the 2026 rating year...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case26%100 / 10026.0
Base case49%62 / 10030.4
Bear case25%10 / 1002.5
Weighted conviction59 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • Awarded statewide Illinois HealthChoice Medicaid contract expanding access across the state
  • iCare subsidiary selected for Family Care and Family Care Partnership contracts in southeast Wisconsin
  • Q2 2026 results with affirmed full year 2026 adjusted EPS guidance of at least $9.00
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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.