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HUM

Humana Inc

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY Analysis generated 2026-10-04 Market data as of 2026-11-12 Market data 3 days old USD 443.68 Healthcare - Medical - Healthcare PlansREDUCE ZONE
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
59

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 443.68
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 270.00
Trim >=take some off
USD 390.00
Thesis breakA material CMS Stars ratings downgrade, an adverse MA Final Rate Notice compress...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case25%100 / 10025.0
Base case50%62 / 10031.0
Bear case25%10 / 1002.5
Weighted conviction59 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • Q2 FY26 EPS beat of 7.61 vs estimate 7 with revenue of 40.87B
  • Affirms FY 2026 individual Medicare Advantage membership growth of approximately 25 percent
  • Sequential growth of 110500 patients or over 22 percent in CenterWell Senior Primary Care
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