HON
Honeywell International Inc
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 223.45
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 196.67
Trim >=take some off
USD 240.00
Thesis breakA confirmed material delay or cancellation of the announced aerospace or advance...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 33% | 100 / 100 | 33.0 |
| Base case | 48% | 62 / 100 | 29.8 |
| Bear case | 19% | 10 / 100 | 1.9 |
| Weighted conviction | 65 / 100 - BUY | ||
Top risks
- $300M contract win for Dangote Petroleum Refinery technology and engineering services
- Groundbreaking agreement with Department of War for defense technologies production acceleration including $500M commitment
- Reaffirmed 2026 full-year guidance and initiated Honeywell Technologies H2 2026 guidance with 3-5% organic growth and 20.9-21.6% segment margins