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HON

Honeywell International Inc

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY 2026-08-09 Data 34 days old USD 246.21 Industrials - ConglomeratesAWAIT ENTRY
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
64

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 246.21
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 219.33
Trim >=take some off
USD 262.00
Thesis breakA formal reduction in the FY 2026 EPS guidance of 22-28% growth, a material slip...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case32%100 / 10032.0
Base case49%62 / 10030.4
Bear case19%10 / 1001.9
Weighted conviction64 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • Government/defence contract momentum via $500 million commitment with Department of War for defense technologies production
  • M&A activity including planned acquisition of Johnson Matthey Catalyst Technologies
  • Earnings/guidance changes with reaffirmed 2026 outlook showing adjusted EPS growth of 22-28% to $3.95-4.15 and 220-270 bps segment margin expansion
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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.