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HON

Honeywell International Inc

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY 2026-08-01 Updated today USD 243.05 Industrials - ConglomeratesAWAIT ENTRY
64

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 243.05
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 221.67
Trim >=take some off
USD 255.00
Thesis breakA confirmed delay to the Aerospace spin-off beyond Q1 2027, a cut to FY26 post-s...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case32%100 / 10032.0
Base case49%62 / 10030.4
Bear case19%10 / 1001.9
Weighted conviction64 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • Strategic licensing deal transferring aircraft power generating systems rights to Innovative Aerosystems
  • FY26 guidance for Honeywell Technologies with sales of $19.9B - $20.2B, organic growth 2% - 3%, adjusted EPS $3.95 - $4.15
  • Aerospace spin-off distribution scheduled for June 29, 2026
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