NYSE:HD
Home Depot Inc
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 348.26
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 260.00
Trim >=take some off
USD 300.00
Thesis breakManagement formally trims fiscal 2026 EPS guidance below $14.48 and confirms tha...
-
Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 32% | 100 / 100 | 32.0 |
| Base case | 49% | 62 / 100 | 30.4 |
| Bear case | 19% | 10 / 100 | 1.9 |
| Weighted conviction | 64 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- Q2 net sales rose 5.7% to $47.9 billion
- Reaffirmed full fiscal-year 2026 guidance after beating expectations
- Operating in frozen housing market conditions with modest like-for-like growth