HPE
Hewlett Packard Enterprise Co
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 69.33
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 56.67
Trim >=take some off
USD 74.00
Thesis breakHPE reports a quarter with revenue growth below 10% year on year, a sequential d...
-
Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 33% | 100 / 100 | 33.0 |
| Base case | 54% | 62 / 100 | 33.5 |
| Bear case | 13% | 10 / 100 | 1.3 |
| Weighted conviction | 64 / 100 - BUY | ||
Top risks
- Record Q3 FY2026 revenue of $12.2B (+34% YoY) with GAAP operating profit up 464%
- Raised financial outlook for fiscal 2026 and 2027 on record orders and backlog
- Q3 EPS beat (+1.11 actual vs +0.94 estimate) and profit margin expansion to 12.37%