LON:HUW
Helios Underwriting PLC
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
254.35p
Buy <=wait / entry
213.33p
Trim >=take some off
260.00p
Thesis breakThe thesis would be invalidated by a material adverse development on the 2023 ye...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 33% | 100 / 100 | 33.0 |
| Base case | 51% | 62 / 100 | 31.6 |
| Bear case | 16% | 10 / 100 | 1.6 |
| Weighted conviction | 66 / 100 - BUY | ||
Top risks
- Proposed tender offer returning up to GBP 7.2m at 269p per share (17.7% premium to recent close)
- Revenue beat of 69.24% in latest earnings release with actual revenue GBP 17.834M vs estimate GBP 10.538M
- Low trailing P/E of 6.43 supporting valuation at current price