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HCA

HCA Healthcare Inc

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY 2026-08-09 Data 34 days old USD 413.36 Healthcare - Medical - Care FacilitiesAWAIT ENTRY
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
64

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 413.36
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 366.67
Trim >=take some off
USD 420.00
Thesis breakThe thesis would be invalidated by a downgrade of FY 2026 EPS guidance below the...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case32%100 / 10032.0
Base case49%62 / 10030.4
Bear case19%10 / 1001.9
Weighted conviction64 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • Q2 2026 revenues increased 8.7% to $20.230 billion
  • Diluted EPS increased 11.6% to $7.62 and adjusted EPS increased 11.0% to $7.59
  • Cash flows from operating activities declined to $2.335 billion from $4.210 billion
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