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HCA

HCA Healthcare Inc

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY 2026-08-01 Updated today USD 402.59 Healthcare - Medical - Care FacilitiesAWAIT ENTRY
64

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 402.59
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 343.33
Trim >=take some off
USD 410.00
Thesis breakA credit-rating downgrade driven by leverage breaching internal thresholds, or a...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case32%100 / 10032.0
Base case49%62 / 10030.4
Bear case19%10 / 1001.9
Weighted conviction64 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • Q2 2026 revenues increased 8.7 percent to $20.230 billion with diluted EPS up 11.6 percent to $7.62
  • Lowered 2026 guidance due to significant payer mix shift
  • Same facility admissions increased 2.5 percent and equivalent admissions 2.7 percent
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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.