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HCA

HCA Healthcare Inc

BUY Analysis generated 2026-10-04 Market data as of 2026-11-12 Market data 3 days old USD 500.66 Healthcare - Medical - Care FacilitiesREDUCE ZONE
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
72

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 500.66
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 375.00
Trim >=take some off
USD 445.00
Thesis breakHCA Healthcare misses its own reiterated FY 2026 EPS guidance range of USD 29.10...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case40%100 / 10040.0
Base case50%62 / 10031.0
Bear case10%10 / 1001.0
Weighted conviction72 / 100 - BUY

Top risks

  • M&A activity including acquisition of 40 urgent care clinics in Texas and medical imaging training institute
  • Earnings growth with Q4 2025 revenues +6.7% to $19.513B, net income +30.6%, adj EPS +28.8% to $8.01 and Q2 2026 revenues +8.7% to $20.230B, adj EPS +11.0% to $7.59
  • 2026 guidance provided alongside Q4 2025 results with capital expenditures estimated at $5.0B+
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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.

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