HAWK
HawkEye 360 Inc
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 21.20
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 22.00
Trim >=take some off
USD 32.00
Thesis breakTwo consecutive quarters of material backlog-conversion slippage or a signalled ...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 33% | 100 / 100 | 33.0 |
| Base case | 51% | 62 / 100 | 31.6 |
| Bear case | 16% | 10 / 100 | 1.6 |
| Weighted conviction | 66 / 100 - BUY | ||
Top risks
- International contract wins totaling over $100 million in 2026
- Record Q1 2026 revenue of $49.8 million (+116.5% YoY) with $285 million backlog
- Successful IPO completion raising $435.9 million net proceeds in May 2026