LON:GRP
Greencoat Renewables PLC
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
EUR 0.83
Buy <=wait / entry
EUR 0.70
Trim >=take some off
EUR 0.80
Thesis breakA material downgrade to the OREG or REFIT fixed-price revenue framework, or a su...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 18% | 100 / 100 | 18.0 |
| Base case | 52% | 62 / 100 | 32.2 |
| Bear case | 30% | 10 / 100 | 3.0 |
| Weighted conviction | 53 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- H1 2026 earnings showing EUR 60 million net cash generation and 1.6x dividend cover
- Ongoing share buyback programme with recent repurchases of 157,132 shares
- Asset disposals progressing as part of capital allocation plan