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GHM

Graham Corp

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY 2026-08-01 Updated today USD 95.90 Industrials - Industrial - MachineryAWAIT ENTRY
57

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 95.90
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 81.33
Trim >=take some off
USD 108.00
Thesis breakA material cancellation or indefinite rescheduling of a named US naval nuclear p...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case23%100 / 10023.0
Base case51%62 / 10031.6
Bear case26%10 / 1002.6
Weighted conviction57 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • Secures major naval defense orders
  • Q4 and full-year fiscal 2026 earnings beat estimates with revenue guidance of $225-235 million
  • Zero debt position and margin expansion supporting growth
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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.