GHM

Graham Corp

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY Analysis generated 2026-10-04 Market data as of 2026-11-12 Market data 3 days old USD 85.95 Industrials - Industrial - MachineryAWAIT ENTRY

ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed

Position levels

Currenttoday

USD 85.95

Buy <=wait / entry

USD 70.67

Trim >=take some off

USD 96.00

Thesis breakA material delay, cancellation or loss of a sole-source US Navy submarine contra...

Scenario-weighted conviction

	Probability	Score	Contribution
Bull case	23%	100 / 100	23.0
Base case	51%	62 / 100	31.6
Bear case	26%	10 / 100	2.6
Weighted conviction			57 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

Government/defence contract momentum including $136M Navy submarine contract award and over $43M in additional defense contracts
M&A activity with acquisition of FlackTek Manufacturing and Sales
Record annual orders of $359 million and backlog of $533 million up 29% year-over-year with book-to-bill of 1.5x

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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.