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GHM

Graham Corp

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY 2026-08-08 Data 35 days old USD 111.68 Industrials - Industrial - MachineryAWAIT ENTRY
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
57

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 111.68
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 91.67
Trim >=take some off
USD 125.00
Thesis breakA confirmed loss or material cancellation of a named naval defence contract, or ...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case23%100 / 10023.0
Base case51%62 / 10031.6
Bear case26%10 / 1002.6
Weighted conviction57 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • Secures major naval defense orders
  • Raises and reiterates fiscal 2026 guidance with revenue $225-235 million
  • Oppenheimer raises price target to $130 from $110
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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.