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LON:GFTU

Grafton Group Plc

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY 2026-08-08 Data 35 days old 1042.80p Industrials - Industrial - DistributionAWAIT ENTRY
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
59

Position levels

Currenttoday
1042.80p
Buy <=wait / entry
913.33p
Trim >=take some off
1100.00p
Thesis breakA profit warning from Grafton Group, a UK Merchanting like-for-like revenue prin...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case25%100 / 10025.0
Base case50%62 / 10031.0
Bear case25%10 / 1002.5
Weighted conviction59 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • Strong Buy consensus from 4 analysts with average 12-month price target of 1181.25p
  • Multiple scheduled trading updates and final results releases in 2026
  • UK construction cycle risk with revenues highly correlated to UK housebuilding and commercial activity
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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.