GS
Goldman Sachs Group Inc
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 1033.99
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 946.67
Trim >=take some off
USD 1080.00
Thesis breakA confirmed failure to meet regulatory capital buffers forcing a halt to buyback...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 40% | 100 / 100 | 40.0 |
| Base case | 50% | 62 / 100 | 31.0 |
| Bear case | 10% | 10 / 100 | 1.0 |
| Weighted conviction | 72 / 100 - BUY | ||
Top risks
- M&A activity: Acquisition of LCN Capital Partners for $410 million in August 2026, part of 7 deals completed in 2026 and 107 total acquisitions
- Earnings momentum: Q2 2026 record net revenues of $20.34 billion, EPS of $20.98 and annualized ROE of 23.5%
- Acquisition pipeline: Continued expansion in Investment Tech, Alternative Lending and real estate debt strategies with peak activity in 2026