GSAT
Globalstar, Inc.
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 83.38
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 55.00
Trim >=take some off
USD 95.00
Thesis breakTermination, material repricing, or regulatory blocking of the announced Amazon ...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 33% | 100 / 100 | 33.0 |
| Base case | 54% | 62 / 100 | 33.5 |
| Bear case | 13% | 10 / 100 | 1.3 |
| Weighted conviction | 68 / 100 - BUY | ||
Top risks
- M&A activity: Amazon $11.6B acquisition of Globalstar to bolster LEO satellite business
- Amazon taking over Apple's 20% stake in GSAT as part of the deal
- Q1 2026 earnings miss with actual EPS -$0.16 vs est -$0.01