GL9
Glanbia plc
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
EUR 23.18
Buy <=wait / entry
EUR 20.33
Trim >=take some off
EUR 25.00
Thesis breakA reset of 2026 EPS guidance at the interim 2026 results, or sustained dairy inp...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 25% | 100 / 100 | 25.0 |
| Base case | 50% | 62 / 100 | 31.0 |
| Bear case | 25% | 10 / 100 | 2.5 |
| Weighted conviction | 59 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- Upgraded full-year adjusted EPS growth guidance to 17%-20% constant currency
- H1 2026 adjusted EPS of $0.8124, up 30% year-over-year with revenue up 7%
- Transformation programme annual savings target raised to $70 million by FY27