GL9
Glanbia plc
Position levels
Currenttoday
EUR 22.58
Buy <=wait / entry
EUR 17.50
Trim >=take some off
EUR 24.50
Thesis breakA sustained drop in like-for-like revenue growth below the mid single digits for...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 26% | 100 / 100 | 26.0 |
| Base case | 49% | 62 / 100 | 30.4 |
| Bear case | 25% | 10 / 100 | 2.5 |
| Weighted conviction | 59 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- Q1 2026 group like-for-like revenue growth of 7.2% YoY with double-digit growth in Performance Nutrition and Health & Nutrition segments
- Optimum Nutrition 18.8% like-for-like revenue growth driven by volume, distribution and innovation
- Transformation program targeting $60 million+ annual savings by FY27 with ongoing efficiency delivery