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GL9

Glanbia plc

BUY Analysis generated 2026-10-04 Market data as of 2026-11-13 Market data 2 days old EUR 19.37 Consumer Defensive - Packaged FoodsAWAIT ENTRY
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
77

Position levels

Currenttoday
EUR 19.37
Buy <=wait / entry
EUR 16.17
Trim >=take some off
EUR 20.50
Thesis breakA cut to the upgraded 17-20% adjusted EPS growth guidance, a publicly disclosed ...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case47%100 / 10047.0
Base case48%62 / 10029.8
Bear case5%10 / 1000.5
Weighted conviction77 / 100 - BUY

Top risks

  • M&A activity: Glanbia agrees to acquire Flavor Producers for $300 million
  • Earnings and guidance changes: H1 2026 adjusted EPS up 30% to $0.8124 with full-year guidance upgraded to 17%-20% constant currency growth
  • EUR 100 million share buybacks completed alongside 10% interim dividend increase
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