GILD
Gilead Sciences, Inc
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 167.95
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 130.33
Trim >=take some off
USD 155.00
Thesis breakA material clinical trial failure in a named late-stage pipeline candidate, a do...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 30% | 100 / 100 | 30.0 |
| Base case | 49% | 62 / 100 | 30.4 |
| Bear case | 21% | 10 / 100 | 2.1 |
| Weighted conviction | 62 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- M&A activity: Gilead Sciences and Lakefront Biotherapeutics completed acquisition of Ouro Medicines to expand inflammation pipeline
- Earnings or guidance changes: Raised 2026 sales outlook and increased quarterly dividend by 3.8%
- Earnings or guidance changes: Q2 revenue of 7.8B driven primarily by HIV franchise